Shaping the Future Electricity System

Lead Proponent

The Transition Accelerator

Project Objectives

The project is focused on modelling studies of the electricity sector. The objective is to identify gaps in the current techno-economic meta-analysis. A detailed meta-analysis can identify common themes and components across various net-zero futures and explain the causal relationships that are responsible for varied outcomes.

There will be 3 workstreams that will unfold in parallel:

1. Meta-analysis of existing modelling results and analysis to identify common themes and components across various net-zero futures in the electricity sector, which will result in the delivery of a final report.
2. Decision tool - developing a real-world overlay framework to identify considerations for implementing modelling results.
3. Regional engagements to determine regional specific needs and barriers to electricity system development, resulting in the delivery of a summary report.

Expected Results

The project will provide a detailed comparison of results of various net-zero futures in the electricity sector and provide insights, including:

• areas of alignment
• gaps
• real world overlay
• robust engagement

The project puts a strong emphasis on understanding why modelling results in the electricity sector are varied. Modelling results are highly sensitive to the inputs, assumptions, and models used to produce them. Understanding these sensitivities will be critical in future analysis of future net-zero pathway assessments and futures.